Can Israel Pull the U.S. into Conflict, and Can Taiwan Do the Same?

President Trump has ordered strikes against Iran, raising global concerns about escalating tensions in the Middle East and their economic repercussions. U.N. Secretary-General Guterres has explicitly stated that this action poses a threat to world peace and security, leading nations to call for a return to the negotiation table. However, the formation of Israel and its deep ties with the U.S. cannot be overlooked.
Israeli hawkish leaders have cleverly leveraged American support, gaining substantial military backing, especially with the U.S. military deployments in Syria and Iraq forming a barrier between Israel and its arch-rival Iran. This emboldens Israel in its attacks on Palestine, further escalating to recent actions against Iran.
Despite strong international condemnation of Israel's actions in Gaza, the historical attack was facilitated by America's tacit approval. Israel aims not only to erase nuclear threats but also to topple the Iranian regime, yet the retaliation from Iran may exceed Israel’s expectations.
When Iran retaliates by threatening U.S. military bases and blockading the Strait of Hormuz, it raises serious concerns for the U.S. and could trigger another global economic crisis. As tensions escalate in the Middle East, the situation in the Taiwan Strait is similarly heating up, especially with Tsai Ing-wen’s administration taking a tougher stance towards mainland China.
However, historical lessons suggest that Taiwan cannot simply draw a parallel with Israel’s situation. Whether U.S. support could be as unconditional as it is for Israel remains questionable. Tsai Ing-wen must act cautiously to ensure Taiwan does not become another Israel, as American resources are already stretched across multiple conflicts.