Escalating Tensions in the Middle East: Ming Chiu-cheng Analyzes Iran's Nuclear Threat and U.S. Strategy

Recently, tensions between Iran and Israel have escalated as Iran issues warnings about nuclear weapons through official media, raising international concerns. Professor Emeritus Ming Chiu-cheng from National Taiwan University stated on the Wind Media program "After Work, Let's Chat" that neighboring Sunni countries welcome the idea of attacking Iran. He believes that the strategic plans of China and Russia face significant setbacks, while the strategies of the U.S. and Israel are gradually achieving success.
Chiu-cheng analyzed the turmoil in the Middle East, attributing it to factors such as religious sect differences, complex ethnic issues, arbitrary territorial divisions, competition for water resources, and disparities in oil wealth. He noted that Hamas's attacks are intended to disrupt the peace process of neighboring countries, and that these countries generally support the suppression of Hamas, thus preventing the escalation of war.
Chiu-cheng further discussed Iran's expansionist intentions, noting that Iran aims to increase its influence in the region by supporting armed groups like Hamas. He emphasized that neighboring countries generally prefer the elimination of Hamas, which further reduces the likelihood of a Middle Eastern war.
Regarding the U.S., Chiu-cheng believes that America’s primary objective is to compel Iran to surrender; failure to do so could lead to American intervention in the conflict. He pointed out that the U.S. may consider using heavy bombs against Iran's nuclear facilities, although the likelihood of actual action remains uncertain.
Chiu-cheng also commented on China's role in the current situation, noting that it has significantly diminished and can only provide limited support. He stressed that Iran's nuclear threats appear to be aimed at negotiating rather than provoking a genuine war.